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ARTCODES is Emily Chang, an award-winning web and interactive designer, consultant, and technology strategist.

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The Accelerating Rate of Change

Saturday, August 09, 2003

Futurist Ray Kurzweill says that “the whole 20th century, because we’ve
been speeding up to this point, is equivalent to 20 years of progress at
today’s rate of progress, and we’ll make another 20 years of progress at
today’s rate of progress equal to the whole 20th century in the next 14
years, and then we’ll do it again in seven years. And because of the
explosive power of exponential growth, the 21st century will be equivalent
to 20,000 years of progress at today’s rate of progress.” But is it all
progress? What about recessions? “If you look at the economy as a whole,
either per capita or just the total economy, it is growing exponentially.
But the various recessions, even the Great Depression, are relatively minor
features that you really see in this chart that is a big exponential. And
what’s interesting is that when the recession is over, including the Great
Depression, it starts back to where it would have been had that never
occurred in the first place. It does not represent even a permanent slowing
down or delay in the underlying exponential.” Kurzweill says that the
really pervasive phenomena is the exponential growth. “We have exponential
growth in productivity. Even that is understated because we’re measuring
the value in dollars of what can be accomplished. But what can be
accomplished for a dollar today is far greater than what could be
accomplished for a dollar 10 years ago.” The acceleration of the rate of
change will have numerous impacts, not least of which will be “the whole
concept of what it means to be human” as humans merge with their
technologies to become different beings. (Perspectives on Business
Innovation Issue 9 Aug 2003)

http://www.cbi.cgey.com/journal/issue9/understanding.htm

Posted by emily chang on 08.09.03
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Pool-side

photo of diving sign next to pool

Posted by emily chang on 08.09.03
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Summer leaves, accented

Wednesday, August 06, 2003

pic

Posted by emily chang on 08.06.03
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Is erosion helping Himalayas to grow?

“A tectonic aneurysm in Tibet.  Does erosion, which occurs over years or decades, influence mountain-building, which requires eons? Do surface forces like wind and rivers contribute to tectonic shifts miles below the earth’s surface?

» More...

Posted by emily chang on 08.06.03
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Opera browser gaining users

Tuesday, August 05, 2003

From News.com

The Opera web browser has been downloaded 10 million times already this
year and is “showing growing signs of use despite Microsoft’s continued
dominance,” says this piece. The Norwegian company behind Opera “sees
America Online’s reduced commitment to developing future versions of
Netscape as a good sign for its own future.” Opera CEO Jon von Tetzchner:
“It is ... especially pleasing to see that so many American users are
discovering that there are alternatives to Microsoft’s old browser
technology.” Only about 0.6 percent of web surfers currently use Opera,
according to one survey - though, as the story explains, those figures
“may be substantially undercounted” because some Opera users “configure
their browser to identify itself as Internet Explorer in order to avoid
web site configuration problems.”

Full story at news.com

Posted by emily chang on 08.05.03
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XHTML 1.0

Welcome to version 3!  It’s been a long time coming but when it came down to it, it only took me the night to cut this site over with a new non-design and XHTML 1.0 transitional stylesheets.  Z was busy doing the same with his so I figured the time was right.  More thoughts on the thrill of marathon web development later when I’ve had some sleep.  Drop me a line and let me know what you think of the new site.

Posted by emily chang on 08.05.03
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